Yes. Although we could be 5th and 1 point ahead of 6th and 7th. (Although that would need Newcastle to win at Anfield, guaranteed top 4 if they don’t.)
16 goals conceded in our last 7 games. Way over 2 a game. No wonder we're not getting any results.
I think half the problem is we're believing our own hype - that we can get results anywhere. So we go one down ... And instead of keeping it tight, we fly at people and try to equalise.
Did you watch the analysis? We had something like 7 players on the edge of their area at 1-1, then they broke and we conceded the second. Watch this video. Even when we're attacking we've been so good in defence because we've normally got 6-7 players behind the ball. We abandoned that at 1-1. Why?
So seven points from those 6 games, which seems pretty acceptable.
But we have lost ground on almost everyone we're competing against - 4 points on Arsenal, 13 on Liverpool (albeit they've played two more games and we aren't really competing with those two), 5 on Chelsea, 2 on Newcastle, 2 on City, 5 on Brighton and 2 on Villa (they've played one more) but held steady against Bournemouth. (I'm ignoring Fulham and lower but even they've made up 2 points).
Quite. I think 7/18 isn’t that bad. Our away performances were poor for 2.5/3 halves but the second half vs Newcastle and the last two home performances have been very good. So I’m going with “we have momentum”…(cue losing at Ipswich this weekend)
Oh, I know - it must have been a different thread where I said we should expect to finish higher than whereever we found ourselves after the Man City game as the difficulty clearly drops off. Not sure I still believe that but the logic makes sense.
So half way through those sixteen games, currently running 3 points ahead. (Brighton, Fulham and ManCity were all down as draws.) Gets much harder to keep pace now as the only remaining games that I didn't have as targeted as wins were Spurs (D) and Chelsea (L).