Think you have to allow for Villa winning their last four. That puts them on 69 but probably with a worse GD still. You’d hope Chelsea lose their next two (Liverpool home, albeit they’ll have won the league by then, and Newcastle away), which means they come to us on 63. Newcastle can currently get to 74 but you’d hope they’d lose some points at Brighton and Arsenal. (I’m not looking at City because I think they’re almost certain to win the next three league games.)
Which is a long winded way of saying we are looking at winning three out of five (all of which we’re probably favourites in).
We are the right end of the table this year, you have to think the teams around you are going to mostly win and you’ll need to take it, not have it given to you.
