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Russ
25 Apr 2023
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    Jim7
    Squad 1033 posts
    1 Apr 2025, 6:09 a.m. 1 Apr 2025, 6:09 a.m.
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    Although they immediately looked a hell of a lot sharper when Marmoush came on for him the other day…….

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    Guru
    Squad 1369 posts
    2 Apr 2025, 11:57 a.m. 2 Apr 2025, 11:57 a.m.
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    I see on Opta that the bottom three are now >99% for relegation. For Southampton, it is 100%. Can it really be 100% before it is MC?

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    BrettWilliams
    Squad 2214 posts
    2 Apr 2025, 12:05 p.m. 2 Apr 2025, 12:05 p.m.
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    They are shit.

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    des
    Squad 234 posts
    2 Apr 2025, 12:24 p.m. 2 Apr 2025, 12:24 p.m.
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    They have 9 games left. They need 7 wins even if none of the other 3 in the bottom 4 get another point. I’m pretty happy to call that 100% relegated.

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    Jake
    Squad 1821 posts
    2 Apr 2025, 1:02 p.m. 2 Apr 2025, 1:02 p.m.
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    But what about Man City's points deduction?

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    Charlie
    Squad 1833 posts
    2 Apr 2025, 1:04 p.m. 2 Apr 2025, 1:04 p.m.
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    @Jake has written:

    But what about Man City's points deduction?

    Guardiola said it would be resolved this month. Oh, that was last month.

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    tricky
    Board 7350 posts
    2 Apr 2025, 1:06 p.m. 2 Apr 2025, 1:06 p.m.
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    @Jake has written:

    But what about Man City's points deduction?

    I think the hope is that you eventually forget there was any charges against them. They have an awful lot of money...and the 'ship is all about money. So ultimately you will be told that it's too late to do anything about it, and you can't retrospectively change trophy winners, and anyway there';s a lot of possible legal challenges. Best just forget about it. And thank you for that suitcase full of cash petrostate fooball club owner.

    Justice delayed is justice denied. The football public have been denied justice, in favour of the primacy of financial interests. That's just a simple observable fact. Even if they do eventually actually do something. Which they wont.

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    Ingo
    Squad 2650 posts
    2 Apr 2025, 1:13 p.m. 2 Apr 2025, 1:13 p.m.
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    10 points will do, should put us in the CL.

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    Simon
    Squad 6610 posts
    2 Apr 2025, 2:57 p.m. 2 Apr 2025, 2:57 p.m.
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    @Guru has written:

    I see on Opta that the bottom three are now >99% for relegation. For Southampton, it is 100%. Can it really be 100% before it is MC?

    I think they run 10,000 simulations, so it's only expressed to two decimal places. On the full table (theanalyst.com/competition/premier-league/table), Leicester are 99.89% and Ipswich 99.73%. Southampton's expected points is 15.04 but I've no idea how they are getting 6 more points (even with that being made up of fractions of probabilities).

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    Russ
    Squad 6436 posts
    2 Apr 2025, 7:49 p.m. 2 Apr 2025, 7:49 p.m.
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    Well I guess any hope of Leicester finding a bit of spine and helping us out were quickly dashed. I suppose I could just hate watch the inevitable goal feast instead.

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    Simon
    Squad 6610 posts
    2 Apr 2025, 8:02 p.m. 2 Apr 2025, 8:02 p.m.
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    Think Brentford and Southampton (and maybe Everton if you are an extreme optimist) are the only teams worth cheering on tonight.

    And Preston, of course.

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    Dave_Rave
    Squad 3009 posts
    2 Apr 2025, 8:06 p.m. 2 Apr 2025, 8:06 p.m.
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    Soton score. 70 minutes to hold on for St Ramsbottom's Day.
    No, I'm not optimistic either.

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    BrettWilliams
    Squad 2214 posts
    2 Apr 2025, 9:30 p.m. 2 Apr 2025, 9:30 p.m.
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    Derby closing in on Eustace's fourth win in a row. Enough to move them out of the bottom three for the first time in ages. It's a pretty impressive run at this stage of the season.

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    Dave_Rave
    Squad 3009 posts
    2 Apr 2025, 9:33 p.m. 2 Apr 2025, 9:33 p.m.
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    Fucking Palace.

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    Russ
    Squad 6436 posts
    2 Apr 2025, 9:43 p.m. 2 Apr 2025, 9:43 p.m.
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    Bournemouth losing at home to Ipswich effectively kills their dreams of Champions League, 6 points and 5 places adrift having played a game more than Newcastle or Chelsea.

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    Mangetout
    Squad 2427 posts
    2 Apr 2025, 9:59 p.m. 2 Apr 2025, 9:59 p.m.
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    @Russ has written:

    Bournemouth losing at home to Ipswich effectively kills their dreams of Champions League, 6 points and 5 places adrift having played a game more than Newcastle or Chelsea.

    And it's very funny.
    City and Newcastle were always likely to win. Villa beating Brighton is net a better result for us, I reckon (although I like Brighton more).

    Just a shame about Southampton.

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