I don’t think he meant that. I think he meant “effortful,” which is (a) a clunky word and (b) not one that trips easily off the tongue.
Danilo looked better more centrally (couldn’t look worse than he did out wide) but agree was dodgy with the ball. Yates will normally come on ahead of Sangare and it was a truly comical bear hug/rugby tackle on Bergvall.
I thought Taiwo did a good job getting us up the field and bullying their centre halves even if he did have the comical air shot. Sosa also looked tidy getting us further up the pitch so those subs made more sense than another central midfield player.
I thought Anderson and MGW were unplayable for the first 20. It was a shame that we retreated a bit and the change at half time made no sense to me. We handed back the initiative and they had real joy on our left with those inside balls between Porro, Kulusevski and Odobert.
With Sangare, I think we might keep him if we qualify for a European competition. He’ll have more time and we know he can pass the ball.
But 3 points and arrested the slide.
So not a bad set of predictions so far - 6 out of 8 correct and the two Chelsea results the wrong way round.
I think the game to game opta points predictions are pretty limited in value as the differences are so close and the swings too big. But they have some value as an impartial assessment of the difficulty of the remaining games.
- Man City v Villa tonight they have as 51.4% City, 25.8% Villa, 22.8% draw, so the swing will be something like City plus 1.23 or minus 0.77 or minus 1.77 and Villa minus 1 or nothing (3x0.258 + 1x0.228 is about 1) or plus 2. With some adjustment for how they think the result impacts the strengths of the teams.
Anyway, stats stats stats yawn yawn yawn. We never lose to Tottenham. I think we should all say thanks to the dashing hero of the hour. Thank you Chic.
I am decently number literate but the but about the City v Villa game I have no clue!
Badly explained by me. For their predicted points, Opta assign a percentage chance of home/away/draw and then give each team a predicted points total of 3 times predicted chance of winning + 1 times predicted chance of drawing.
So tonight Man CIty have a 51.4% chance of winning and a 22.8% chance of drawing, means 3x0.514 + 1x0.228 = 1.77 points. If they win, their expected points for the whole season goes up by 3-1.77, if they draw, it goes down by 1-1.77 and if they lose it goes down by 1.77. Reverse all that for Villa.
Edit - Asterisks fuck up the formatting
Got it thanks!
